Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.918857 4.206696 4.514237 4.868800 5.268212 5.706496 6.226932
2025-05-18 3.420454 3.817224 4.268121 4.824489 5.501156 6.309150 7.365518
2025-05-25 3.065133 3.504787 4.024424 4.695083 5.555086 6.646851 8.183643
2025-06-01 2.822503 3.286869 3.852386 4.608408 5.620224 6.972361 9.003135
2025-06-08 2.671478 3.161127 3.773427 4.618467 5.795237 7.447191 10.094635
2025-06-15 2.569212 3.084638 3.745029 4.684054 6.042584 8.045166 11.477630
2025-06-22 2.400327 2.908440 3.569608 4.528057 5.950058 8.116706 12.009998
2025-06-29 2.270307 2.774496 3.440125 4.422858 5.916687 8.268031 12.700439
2025-07-06 2.161693 2.662302 3.331986 4.337532 5.901143 8.439995 13.456897
2025-07-13 2.087057 2.591543 3.275963 4.322479 5.990688 8.794928 14.645658
2025-07-20 2.045486 2.563307 3.277004 4.391103 6.218834 9.420186 16.562095
2025-07-27 2.010273 2.541484 3.284921 4.469242 6.468770 10.121825 18.877633
2025-08-03 1.945937 2.478479 3.233493 4.457376 6.576084 10.595531 20.897274
2025-08-10 1.878049 2.407815 3.167618 4.418735 6.634766 10.989751 22.905684
2025-08-17 1.796413 2.313551 3.061149 4.305620 6.545571 11.059914 24.024867
2025-08-24 1.730207 2.238950 2.980640 4.229730 6.517424 11.257607 25.641603
2025-08-31 1.689354 2.199713 2.952005 4.238543 6.650152 11.839487 28.867556
2025-09-07 1.662610 2.180003 2.952181 4.295969 6.883323 12.705662 33.776546
2025-09-14 1.593875 2.094732 2.845337 4.159288 6.712415 12.547728 34.428124
2025-09-21 1.538905 2.028468 2.766038 4.066932 6.624632 12.590031 36.045252
2025-09-28 1.490900 1.971167 2.698689 3.991911 6.565976 12.699515 38.097012
2025-10-05 1.458691 1.936840 2.666748 3.978665 6.636342 13.169762 42.433277
2025-10-12 1.443373 1.927756 2.675051 4.039023 6.871433 14.154143 50.944173